A positive session as early weakness uncovers renewed buying as supports hold.
While underlying technical studies continue to improve with a major cyclical bottom confirmed to be in place, lack of basing activity still leaves the past 10 weeks’ recovery phase looking unsustainable and vulnerable to serious correction in the days and weeks ahead. Expect strong resistance to be encountered at 5,580/5,600 initially, then again towards 5,650/70 with renewed bouts of weakness likely as a better accumulative platform is constructed. Local support is now visible starting in and around the 5,370/90 area with a close beneath here needed to trigger deeper near-term losses.
Trading strategy: Remaining on sidelines for now as the corrective/consolidative phase continues.
The medium- to long-term downtrend structure is undisturbed, though short-term technical studies have clearly improved with a secondary bottom now confirmed to be complete. This appears capable of supporting advances closer to the 1,630/40 area in the days and weeks ahead and while interim resistance should be anticipated in and around the 1,580/90 zone, any fresh bouts of weakness should now be cushioned by supports starting in the 1,490/1,500 region with a clear and sustained break back under here needed to set up fresh challenges of the historically important 1,430/30 levels.
Trading strategy: Looking to probe the long side on dips looking for the 1,630 area.
Medium- to long-term downtrends remain firmly in force with little evidence of a bottom yet, while short-term trends have flattened out with a fresh period of correction and reconsolidation being experienced now. Expect immediate rally attempts to again meet strong overhead resistance on approach to the important 2,050/70 area with a clear and sustained break above here required to improve the underlying technical tone and confirm completion of a secondary basing pattern. However, until/unless achieved, further choppy two-way market activity is favoured with support waiting at 1,890/1,900 then 1,760/80.
Trading strategy: Remaining on the sidelines for the time being as trends are flattening out.
Intermediate- to long-term downtrends are still firmly intact with little evidence of a bottom to this major bear cycle yet, though short-term trends continue to flatten out with prices oscillating within the confines of the past 10 weeks’ reconsolidation phase. Expect immediate rally attempts to again meet strong overhead resistance on approach to the upper boundary of this trading range in the 1,750/60 area with a clear and sustained break above here needed to signal completion of at least a secondary base. However, until/unless achieved further choppy two-way activity is favoured for the time being.
Trading strategy: With prices back into a trading range situation, remaining on the sidelines for the time being.
Medium- to long-term downtrends are undisturbed, while short-term trends continue to flatten out with an extended period of correction and reconsolidation currently being experienced. Expect the prevailing up-leg to again meet strong overhead resistance starting at 12,800/12,900 then in the 13,400/13,500 area with only a clear and sustained break above here capable of improving technical tone with a secondary bottom then becoming complete. However, until/unless achieved, further choppy two-way activity is favoured for the time being with support waiting at 11,800/11,900 initially.
Trading strategy: Remaining on the sidelines for the time being as reconsolidative phase continues.
While overall technical studies remain decisively bearish with little evidence of a bottom to this major downward cycle as yet, shorter term trends are pointed up with the past 10 weeks’ corrective recovery continuing for the time being. Expect strong overhead resistance to be encountered at initially 16,100/16,200 then again towards the 17,000/17,100 region with this market still vulnerable to renewed bouts of weakness in the weeks ahead. Support is now visible starting at 14,600/14,700 with a close beneath here needed to trigger deeper falls and set up a retest of the 13,100/13,200 zone.
Trading strategy: Monitoring the current corrective phase for an opportunity to re-establish shorts.
Overall technical studies remain decisively bullish with prices expected to trend towards the 1,800.0 region in the days and weeks ahead. Interim resistance should continue to be encountered on approach to the 1,760.0/65.0 area and until a clear and sustained break above here can be secured, further choppy two-way market action is likely for the time being. Supports wait at 1,690.0/95.0 initially, then again towards the more important 1,660.0/65.0 zone with only a decisive market close back under here likely to damage the underlying positive tone and trigger deeper losses.
Trading strategy: Continuing to buy dips/holding longs looking for the 1,800.0 region.
Short- to medium-term technical studies have clearly improved with prices breaking decisively to the upside form the confines of the past months reconsolidative pattern. The market looks capable of challenging the 19.50/70 area in the days ahead and while interim resistance should be encountered in and around the 18.80/19.00 region, immediate pullbacks are likely to be limited to corrective dips only for the time being. Local support is now visible staring at 16.50/70 then again towards the more important 15.40/60 zone with only a close back under here likely to trigger deeper near term falls.
Trading strategy: Preferring the long side now, but only on corrective dips looking for 18.80/19.60 regions.
The data shown and the views expressed on this sheet are for information purposes only and do not constitute recommendations to trade. Cliff Green Consultancy does not accept any liability for loss or damage suffered through any actions taken or not taken as a result of reading any information provided herein.
Friday, June 05, 2020 | Tel: + 44 (0)7710369208 | www.cliffgreenconsultancy.com | email: firstname.lastname@example.org